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Red238
523996.9
7166135.2
5695122.7
Blue405
5235129.1
4779162.2
6071116.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153500100300400500600238405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#27
135.21.9
112.7114.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
blue by 27.0
162.22.0
137.6139.6
Auto21.8
Teleop115.8
End27.5
Second
5695
#26
122.70.7
125.6124.9
Auto18.3
Teleop90.9
End12.0
blue by 6.4
5235
#29
129.10.4
127.9128.3
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
Third
5239
#32
96.90.3
89.890.1
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End13.1
blue by 19.5
6071
#17
116.40.6
98.599.1
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed