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Red268
5048128.0
5533139.2
5201110.6
Blue388
377395.6
247151.3
217223.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267360100200300400500600268388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5533
#10
139.20.4
140.1140.5
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
blue by 83.9
217
#1
223.10.1
197.8197.9
Auto22.7
Teleop165.2
End35.1
Second
5048
#28
128.00.3
130.4130.1
Auto17.7
Teleop98.5
End10.6
blue by 23.3
247
#11
151.30.4
156.0155.6
Auto19.6
Teleop110.2
End20.8
Third
5201
#40
110.60.1
105.4105.5
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
red by 15.0
3773
#23
95.60.0
90.090.0
Auto12.4
Teleop68.0
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed