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Red31
523996.9
5662104.8
6086141.3
Blue354
4779162.2
7206129.5
3175128.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186343010030040050060031354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6086
#16
141.30.7
142.1142.8
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
blue by 20.9
162.21.3
134.6135.8
Auto21.8
Teleop115.8
End27.5
Second
5662
#31
104.81.1
110.7109.6
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
blue by 24.7
7206
#15
129.50.9
124.2125.1
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End11.1
Third
5239
#32
96.90.6
89.790.3
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End13.1
blue by 31.7
3175
#13
128.60.3
124.0123.7
Auto15.3
Teleop92.8
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed