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Red398
5260141.1
3534153.5
3667151.9
Blue191
6019133.7
6071116.4
5114176.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298301200250350400398191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.50.2
128.7129.0
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
blue by 23.0
176.51.2
172.7173.9
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
Second
151.90.2
133.9134.1
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
red by 18.2
6019
#19
133.71.6
120.6122.2
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4
Third
5260
#33
141.11.6
135.4137.0
Auto14.6
Teleop107.3
End15.6
red by 24.6
6071
#17
116.41.8
96.498.2
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed