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Red402
5860140.3
3668165.7
5155179.4
Blue170
6098130.4
1718160.2
5447109.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362284100200400500600402170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.40.9
176.5175.6
Auto20.6
Teleop130.1
End28.0
red by 19.2
1718
#12
160.20.1
151.3151.2
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
Second
165.70.7
148.5147.7
Auto21.7
Teleop116.3
End29.3
red by 35.3
6098
#22
130.40.2
125.4125.6
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
Third
5860
#14
140.30.2
128.1127.9
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0
red by 31.1
5447
#37
109.20.7
110.3111.0
Auto16.8
Teleop75.9
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed