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Red316
2604110.7
6086141.3
5167132.5
Blue242
5201110.6
6120137.0
5260141.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267311100200400500600316242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6086
#16
141.30.1
142.3142.2
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
red by 0.3
5260
#33
141.11.5
139.2140.8
Auto14.6
Teleop107.3
End15.6
Second
5167
#35
132.50.9
128.5129.4
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
blue by 4.5
6120
#36
137.01.6
131.0129.4
Auto15.4
Teleop106.5
End16.6
Third
2604
#20
110.70.5
103.5103.0
Auto17.7
Teleop81.4
End10.4
red by 0.2
5201
#40
110.61.0
105.8106.8
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed