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Red197
7218107.4
4779162.2
247151.3
Blue365
1684163.0
6098130.4
6344134.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335293200400500197365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.22.7
139.6142.2
Auto21.8
Teleop115.8
End27.5
blue by 0.8
163.00.1
148.4148.5
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
Second
247
#11
151.30.3
156.0155.7
Auto19.6
Teleop110.2
End20.8
red by 16.6
6344
#18
134.70.0
129.0129.0
Auto18.6
Teleop101.7
End14.4
Third
7218
#25
107.41.0
101.8102.7
Auto17.1
Teleop77.8
End14.8
blue by 22.9
6098
#22
130.40.0
125.4125.4
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed