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Red148
3619115.9
5533139.2
5662104.8
Blue381
3667151.9
6071116.4
6086141.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247341100200300400500148381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5533
#10
139.20.6
140.4139.8
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
blue by 12.7
151.91.2
136.4137.7
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
Second
3619
#21
115.90.3
119.2118.9
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
blue by 25.4
6086
#16
141.30.7
142.2142.9
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
Third
5662
#31
104.80.9
106.2105.3
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
blue by 11.6
6071
#17
116.41.5
99.1100.6
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed