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Red182
5527109.7
5167132.5
5235129.1
Blue357
1684163.0
3534153.5
377395.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303277100200400500600182357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#35
132.51.5
129.4130.9
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
blue by 30.5
163.00.9
148.5149.5
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
Second
5235
#29
129.11.3
129.6130.9
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
blue by 24.4
153.51.6
131.3132.8
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
Third
5527
#38
109.70.2
118.0117.9
Auto16.1
Teleop83.3
End9.6
red by 14.1
3773
#23
95.60.4
90.890.4
Auto12.4
Teleop68.0
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed