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Red349
5201110.6
7206129.5
5155179.4
Blue192
5447109.2
5260141.1
523996.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3721910100300400500600349192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.40.6
175.1175.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.1
End28.0
red by 38.3
5260
#33
141.11.4
142.1143.4
Auto14.6
Teleop107.3
End15.6
Second
7206
#15
129.51.2
128.9130.2
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End11.1
red by 20.3
5447
#37
109.20.4
112.5112.1
Auto16.8
Teleop75.9
End15.7
Third
5201
#40
110.60.5
107.8108.3
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
red by 13.7
5239
#32
96.91.2
90.691.8
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed