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Red136
6086141.3
4130167.0
7188102.1
Blue470
1718160.2
217223.1
6071116.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262370100200300400500600136470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.00.5
163.5164.1
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
blue by 56.1
217
#1
223.11.9
201.4203.2
Auto22.7
Teleop165.2
End35.1
Second
6086
#16
141.31.1
142.9143.9
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
blue by 18.9
1718
#12
160.20.5
150.3149.8
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
Third
7188
#30
102.11.1
104.1103.0
Auto14.9
Teleop79.1
End9.0
blue by 14.3
6071
#17
116.41.7
100.6102.3
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned