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Red298
5235129.1
6098130.4
247151.3
Blue248
2604110.7
3619115.9
6019133.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812420100200300500600298248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#11
151.30.6
155.7155.1
Auto19.6
Teleop110.2
End20.8
red by 17.6
6019
#19
133.70.6
124.3125.0
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4
Second
6098
#22
130.40.8
125.4126.3
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
red by 14.5
3619
#21
115.90.9
118.9118.0
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
Third
5235
#29
129.10.4
130.9131.4
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
red by 18.3
2604
#20
110.70.9
103.3104.2
Auto17.7
Teleop81.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed