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Red189
5167132.5
3175128.6
7224111.3
Blue381
7166135.2
7168104.7
3667151.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29928601,0002,0003,0004,0005,000189381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#35
132.50.6
130.9131.4
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
blue by 19.4
151.91.6
137.7139.2
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
Second
3175
#13
128.60.2
123.0123.2
Auto15.3
Teleop92.8
End21.6
blue by 6.5
7166
#27
135.21.8
118.4120.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
Third
7224
#24
111.30.1
104.2104.4
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
red by 6.6
7168
#39
104.70.3
102.9103.2
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed