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Red279
7166135.2
5201110.6
3534153.5
Blue294
6086141.3
5533139.2
6344134.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317316250300350400450279294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.52.4
137.1139.5
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
red by 12.2
6086
#16
141.30.5
143.7143.2
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
Second
7166
#27
135.22.8
122.6125.4
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
blue by 4.0
5533
#10
139.20.7
138.7139.4
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
Third
5201
#40
110.60.7
108.9109.6
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
blue by 24.1
6344
#18
134.70.5
130.7131.2
Auto18.6
Teleop101.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed