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Red474
3175128.6
5114176.5
6120137.0
Blue297
5167132.5
5155179.4
6019133.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2983620100200400500600474297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.8
172.8172.0
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
blue by 2.9
179.40.2
176.4176.6
Auto20.6
Teleop130.1
End28.0
Second
6120
#36
137.00.9
127.8128.7
Auto15.4
Teleop106.5
End16.6
red by 3.3
6019
#19
133.71.2
125.8126.9
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4
Third
3175
#13
128.60.0
123.2123.2
Auto15.3
Teleop92.8
End21.6
blue by 3.9
5167
#35
132.50.7
131.7132.4
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed