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Red370
6071116.4
7224111.3
3668165.7
Blue340
523996.9
2604110.7
1684163.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212890100200400500600700800370340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.71.4
154.5155.8
Auto21.7
Teleop116.3
End29.3
red by 2.7
163.02.7
153.0155.7
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
Second
6071
#17
116.42.1
104.6106.7
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
red by 5.7
2604
#20
110.71.1
105.2106.3
Auto17.7
Teleop81.4
End10.4
Third
7224
#24
111.30.8
104.4105.2
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
red by 14.4
5239
#32
96.90.5
92.693.1
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed