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Red202
5662104.8
5260141.1
6098130.4
Blue384
5533139.2
1718160.2
7166135.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257371100200300500600700202384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#33
141.10.1
144.6144.5
Auto14.6
Teleop107.3
End15.6
blue by 19.1
1718
#12
160.20.9
150.3151.1
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
Second
6098
#22
130.40.2
127.6127.4
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
blue by 8.8
5533
#10
139.20.5
139.4139.9
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
Third
5662
#31
104.80.1
102.9103.0
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
blue by 30.4
7166
#27
135.22.6
125.4128.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed