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Red203
6071116.4
5167132.5
5201110.6
Blue255
7168104.7
5235129.1
7206129.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282277200250300350400203255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#35
132.50.0
132.9132.8
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
red by 3.0
7206
#15
129.50.0
131.3131.3
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End11.1
Second
6071
#17
116.42.2
106.7108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
blue by 12.6
5235
#29
129.10.0
130.4130.4
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
Third
5201
#40
110.60.2
110.5110.7
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
red by 5.9
7168
#39
104.70.7
105.1105.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed