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Red438
5114176.5
7188102.1
4779162.2
Blue281
7224111.3
6019133.7
5662104.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902020100300500600700438281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.1
172.8172.7
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
red by 42.7
6019
#19
133.70.9
127.8128.7
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4
Second
162.21.7
149.9151.7
Auto21.8
Teleop115.8
End27.5
red by 50.9
7224
#24
111.30.3
106.4106.7
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
Third
7188
#30
102.10.2
100.7100.5
Auto14.9
Teleop79.1
End9.0
blue by 2.7
5662
#31
104.80.2
103.0102.7
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed