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Red353
5447109.2
6086141.3
3668165.7
Blue183
3667151.9
5926100.7
2604110.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662660100200300400500600700353183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.71.7
155.8157.5
Auto21.7
Teleop116.3
End29.3
red by 13.8
151.91.8
144.9146.7
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
Second
6086
#16
141.30.2
142.7142.5
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
red by 30.6
2604
#20
110.71.5
107.7109.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.4
End10.4
Third
5447
#37
109.20.5
111.3110.8
Auto16.8
Teleop75.9
End15.7
red by 8.5
5926
#34
100.70.5
102.3101.8
Auto14.7
Teleop76.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed