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Red338
3534153.5
3175128.6
6071116.4
Blue314
377395.6
5860140.3
6098130.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365231100300400500600700338314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.52.2
141.7143.9
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
red by 13.2
5860
#14
140.30.5
137.0137.4
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0
Second
3175
#13
128.61.6
124.5126.1
Auto15.3
Teleop92.8
End21.6
blue by 1.7
6098
#22
130.40.5
127.4127.0
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
Third
6071
#17
116.41.9
108.9110.8
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
red by 20.8
3773
#23
95.60.7
93.093.7
Auto12.4
Teleop68.0
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned