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Red259
7168104.7
5533139.2
5167132.5
Blue427
5926100.7
7224111.3
4779162.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30828305001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500259427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5533
#10
139.20.3
140.3140.6
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
blue by 23.0
4779
#5DQ
162.22.1
151.7153.8
Auto21.8
Teleop115.8
End27.5
Second
5167
#35
132.50.0
132.8132.9
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
red by 21.2
7224
#24
111.31.1
106.7107.8
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
Third
7168
#39
104.70.1
106.2106.0
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End13.1
red by 4.0
5926
#34
100.71.1
101.8100.7
Auto14.7
Teleop76.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed