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Red170
5235129.1
5201110.6
7218107.4
Blue372
5662104.8
7166135.2
5155179.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247371100200300500600700170372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5235
#29
129.10.3
130.4130.1
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
blue by 50.3
179.40.8
177.1177.8
Auto20.6
Teleop130.1
End28.0
Second
5201
#40
110.60.2
110.7110.9
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
blue by 24.6
7166
#27
135.21.7
130.1131.7
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
Third
7218
#25
107.41.0
104.6105.6
Auto17.1
Teleop77.8
End14.8
red by 2.6
5662
#31
104.80.6
102.7103.4
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed