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Red410
1718160.2
3668165.7
5167132.5
Blue176
5114176.5
3534153.5
3619115.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371326100200300400500600410176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.70.6
163.4164.0
Auto21.7
Teleop116.3
End29.3
blue by 10.8
176.50.4
175.8176.2
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
Second
1718
#12
160.20.6
157.7158.3
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
red by 6.7
153.50.7
152.3153.0
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
Third
5167
#35
132.50.1
132.1132.2
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
red by 16.6
3619
#21
115.90.3
115.3115.7
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5