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Red399
1718160.2
3668165.7
5167132.5
Blue308
5114176.5
3534153.5
3619115.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377320100200500600700399308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.70.6
164.0164.6
Auto21.7
Teleop116.3
End29.3
blue by 10.8
176.50.3
176.2176.5
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
Second
1718
#12
160.20.7
158.3159.0
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
red by 6.7
153.50.5
153.0153.5
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
Third
5167
#35
132.50.1
132.2132.3
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
red by 16.6
3619
#21
115.90.2
115.7115.9
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5