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Red425
5509175.1
5603162.3
7213129.8
Blue261
5193130.8
703146.7
94130.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376300200500600700425261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.10.2
173.9174.1
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
red by 28.4
703
#13
146.70.3
146.2146.4
Auto23.0
Teleop109.8
End14.7
Second
162.31.1
156.5157.6
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
red by 31.5
5193
#21
130.80.7
129.6130.2
Auto17.4
Teleop100.8
End14.5
Third
7213
#19
129.80.4
127.4127.8
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
blue by 0.8
94
#24
130.60.1
130.4130.5
Auto13.9
Teleop94.0
End22.6