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Red371
5509175.1
5603162.3
7213129.8
Blue141
3770175.2
5424153.8
6559122.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380329200300500600700371141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.10.2
174.3174.5
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
blue by 0.1
175.20.0
175.4175.4
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
Second
162.31.0
158.7159.7
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
red by 8.5
153.80.5
153.1153.5
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
Third
7213
#19
129.80.4
128.2128.7
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
red by 7.5
6559
#30
122.30.0
122.4122.4
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1