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Red470
5509175.1
5216158.5
5603162.3
Blue242
6067141.3
6649118.3
5166107.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032020100300500470242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.11.9
155.1157.1
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
red by 33.8
6067
#17
141.36.0
95.8101.8
Auto16.4
Teleop101.2
End27.6
Second
162.30.4
134.7135.1
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
red by 44.1
6649
#20
118.30.6
107.2106.6
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
Third
158.50.3
146.3146.6
Auto17.9
Teleop114.3
End24.0
red by 51.5
5166
#40
107.02.2
117.3115.1
Auto15.4
Teleop79.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed