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Red392
5504114.0
5982152.3
6193163.5
Blue31
4819122.9
5229124.2
653391.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992775010015020025035040045039231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.51.1
138.0139.0
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
red by 39.3
5229
#12
124.20.2
123.6123.4
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
Second
5982
#10
152.311.3
93.5104.8
Auto18.2
Teleop111.0
End25.6
red by 29.4
4819
#16
122.910.6
102.1112.6
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7
Third
114.01.7
98.299.9
Auto19.3
Teleop86.8
End9.3
red by 22.6
6533
#34
91.48.7
86.595.2
Auto13.2
Teleop72.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed