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Red56
5661120.9
6631103.2
438292.3
Blue332
2619124.5
655293.4
5156113.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29822610020040050056332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5661
#36
120.98.5
98.8107.4
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
blue by 3.6
124.51.5
116.8115.3
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
Second
6631
#38
103.21.1
113.7112.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.0
End9.5
blue by 10.4
5156
#31
113.66.4
101.7108.1
Auto13.7
Teleop92.2
End5.8
Third
4382
#39DQ
92.33.7
92.896.5
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
blue by 1.1
6552
#22
93.41.4
101.9100.5
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed