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Red105
5538114.1
6753129.9
6093131.0
Blue438
6067141.3
6193163.5
5193130.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309278150200250350400450105438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6093
#18
131.00.9
120.0120.9
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
blue by 32.5
163.51.8
139.0140.9
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
Second
6753
#14
129.93.4
124.3127.7
Auto17.4
Teleop98.7
End14.5
blue by 11.4
6067
#17
141.35.0
101.8106.7
Auto16.4
Teleop101.2
End27.6
Third
5538
#26
114.18.4
103.6112.0
Auto14.9
Teleop85.6
End12.4
blue by 16.7
5193
#21
130.82.7
105.2107.9
Auto17.4
Teleop100.8
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed