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Red202
5424153.8
5222117.8
5447110.3
Blue446
6753129.9
5203115.1
5509175.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295307200250350400202446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.81.2
145.5146.7
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
blue by 21.3
175.11.5
161.4162.9
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
Second
5222
#27
117.82.6
117.1119.7
Auto14.0
Teleop91.7
End11.2
blue by 12.1
6753
#14
129.91.4
126.2127.6
Auto17.4
Teleop98.7
End14.5
Third
5447
#25
110.32.8
110.0112.9
Auto14.4
Teleop79.8
End17.1
blue by 4.8
5203
#29
115.11.3
112.0110.8
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed