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Red394
3770175.2
5156113.6
5216158.5
Blue134
653391.4
6020122.8
655293.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4091680100200300500600394134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.22.1
172.2174.3
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
red by 52.4
6020
#15
122.80.1
122.1122.2
Auto17.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Second
158.50.6
148.8149.5
Auto17.9
Teleop114.3
End24.0
red by 65.2
6552
#22
93.41.0
99.698.6
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
Third
5156
#31
113.62.2
113.6115.8
Auto13.7
Teleop92.2
End5.8
red by 22.3
6533
#34
91.41.6
97.195.4
Auto13.2
Teleop72.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed