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Red233
5229124.2
5603162.3
661193.1
Blue257
5193130.8
6493114.3
5257101.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279276150200250300350400233257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.32.1
137.3139.5
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
red by 31.5
5193
#21
130.80.9
112.9113.8
Auto17.4
Teleop100.8
End14.5
Second
5229
#12
124.21.6
120.5118.9
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
red by 10.0
6493
#32
114.31.9
116.7118.6
Auto12.6
Teleop91.5
End8.9
Third
6611
#37
93.10.3
99.9100.2
Auto12.5
Teleop71.6
End10.6
blue by 8.7
5257
#35
101.83.2
103.5106.6
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed