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Red139
5222117.8
2619124.5
661193.1
Blue326
5982152.3
655293.4
5229124.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256273100150200300350400139326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.50.3
114.9115.1
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
blue by 27.8
5982
#10
152.36.3
126.3132.6
Auto18.2
Teleop111.0
End25.6
Second
5222
#27
117.80.4
119.7119.2
Auto14.0
Teleop91.7
End11.2
blue by 6.4
5229
#12
124.21.1
118.9117.8
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
Third
6611
#37
93.10.5
100.2100.8
Auto12.5
Teleop71.6
End10.6
blue by 0.2
6552
#22
93.41.3
98.697.3
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed