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Red448
5712162.2
5224151.8
6649118.3
Blue227
6753129.9
438292.3
6020122.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334282100150200250300400450448227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.21.1
149.4150.5
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
red by 32.3
6753
#14
129.94.5
127.6132.0
Auto17.4
Teleop98.7
End14.5
Second
5224
#11
151.80.3
140.3140.6
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
red by 29.0
6020
#15
122.80.5
122.2121.7
Auto17.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Third
6649
#20
118.30.8
107.8108.5
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
red by 26.0
4382
#39
92.30.4
98.398.7
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed