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Red408
4819122.9
5203115.1
5193130.8
Blue323
6093131.0
6073114.4
5156113.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812610100200400500600700408323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#21
130.80.3
113.8114.1
Auto17.4
Teleop100.8
End14.5
blue by 0.2
6093
#18
131.00.8
120.7121.5
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Second
4819
#16
122.91.8
113.2111.4
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7
red by 8.5
6073
#23
114.40.5
114.6114.1
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
Third
5203
#29
115.12.7
110.8113.4
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
red by 1.5
5156
#31
113.60.6
115.8116.4
Auto13.7
Teleop92.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed