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Red295
653391.4
5224151.8
5661120.9
Blue401
5603162.3
6067141.3
5222117.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242335100200300400500295401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5224
#11
151.81.1
140.6141.7
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
blue by 10.5
162.31.1
141.2142.4
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
Second
5661
#36
120.90.6
112.1112.7
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
blue by 20.4
6067
#17
141.32.6
121.1123.7
Auto16.4
Teleop101.2
End27.6
Third
6533
#34
91.42.0
92.890.8
Auto13.2
Teleop72.5
End6.9
blue by 26.4
5222
#27
117.82.5
119.2116.7
Auto14.0
Teleop91.7
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned