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Red251
5509175.1
5538114.1
607196.4
Blue205
5424153.8
4819122.9
6631103.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311279150200250350400450500251205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.12.4
165.5167.9
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
red by 21.3
153.80.6
146.9147.5
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
Second
5538
#26
114.10.9
114.0114.9
Auto14.9
Teleop85.6
End12.4
blue by 8.8
4819
#16
122.91.1
111.4112.4
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7
Third
6071
#28
96.41.6
100.498.8
Auto13.4
Teleop75.2
End10.5
blue by 6.8
6631
#38
103.21.3
107.5106.2
Auto15.4
Teleop79.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed