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Red363
5712162.2
6193163.5
438292.3
Blue353
6073114.4
7213129.8
3770175.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331320200250300350400450363353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.52.9
148.4151.3
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
blue by 11.7
175.21.5
175.6177.1
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
Second
162.21.8
150.5152.3
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
red by 32.4
7213
#19
129.84.0
110.9114.9
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
Third
4382
#39
92.31.8
98.796.9
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
blue by 22.1
6073
#23
114.40.2
114.1113.9
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed