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Red221
94130.6
661193.1
6631103.2
Blue303
5224151.8
6020122.8
5538114.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523050100200400500221303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94
#24
130.60.0
129.2129.3
Auto13.9
Teleop94.0
End22.6
blue by 21.2
5224
#11
151.80.4
138.2138.6
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
Second
6631
#38
103.21.2
116.1114.9
Auto15.4
Teleop79.0
End9.5
blue by 19.6
6020
#15
122.80.3
119.8120.1
Auto17.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Third
6611
#37
93.117.0
65.282.3
Auto12.5
Teleop71.6
End10.6
blue by 21.0
5538
#26
114.115.8
76.392.1
Auto14.9
Teleop85.6
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed