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Red262
6559122.3
5982152.3
4819122.9
Blue288
438292.3
5603162.3
715098.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291286200250300350262288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5982
#10
152.315.6
77.993.5
Auto18.2
Teleop111.0
End25.6
blue by 10.0
162.31.0
133.7134.7
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
Second
4819
#16
122.914.6
87.5102.1
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7
red by 24.3
7150
#33
98.712.7
90.577.7
Auto16.5
Teleop75.3
End0.5
Third
6559
#30
122.31.3
108.4109.7
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1
red by 30.0
4382
#39DQ
92.317.0
65.482.4
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed