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Red282
5203115.1
653391.4
5712162.2
Blue278
5229124.2
5661120.9
2619124.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358237100200300400500600282278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.22.0
145.4147.4
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
red by 37.6
124.51.4
118.8117.3
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
Second
5203
#29
115.115.1
82.797.8
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
blue by 9.1
5229
#12
124.21.0
124.6123.6
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
Third
6533
#34
91.416.5
70.086.5
Auto13.2
Teleop72.5
End6.9
blue by 29.5
5661
#36
120.910.2
88.698.8
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed