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Red306
5712162.2
2619124.5
715098.7
Blue301
6193163.5
661193.1
5424153.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275353100200400500600306301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.22.4
154.3156.7
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
blue by 1.3
163.52.2
154.1156.3
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
Second
124.51.4
114.9116.3
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
blue by 29.3
153.81.3
147.6148.9
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
Third
7150
#33
98.71.1
103.5102.4
Auto16.5
Teleop75.3
End0.5
red by 5.5
6611
#37
93.10.7
95.294.5
Auto12.5
Teleop71.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed