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Red221
438292.3
6093131.0
5166107.0
Blue470
5504114.0
6067141.3
5224151.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1913980100300500600700221470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6093
#18
131.01.2
125.6126.8
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
blue by 20.8
5224
#11
151.81.9
145.4147.3
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
Second
5166
#40
107.01.2
110.0108.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.6
End10.8
blue by 34.2
6067
#17
141.32.8
131.3134.1
Auto16.4
Teleop101.2
End27.6
Third
4382
#39
92.32.4
96.193.7
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
blue by 21.7
114.01.6
108.3109.9
Auto19.3
Teleop86.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed