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Red418
6493114.3
3770175.2
653391.4
Blue255
6649118.3
715098.7
94130.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022650100200400500600700418255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.21.2
177.5176.3
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
red by 44.6
94
#24
130.60.5
132.0131.6
Auto13.9
Teleop94.0
End22.6
Second
6493
#32
114.31.1
113.1112.0
Auto12.6
Teleop91.5
End8.9
blue by 4.0
6649
#20
118.31.9
112.1114.1
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
Third
6533
#34
91.41.5
91.790.1
Auto13.2
Teleop72.5
End6.9
blue by 7.3
7150
#33
98.71.0
102.4101.4
Auto16.5
Teleop75.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed