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Red411
6193163.5
5229124.2
5257101.8
Blue231
655293.4
6631103.2
5224151.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330260100200300400500600411231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.51.5
156.3157.8
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
red by 11.7
5224
#11
151.82.1
147.3149.3
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
Second
5229
#12
124.21.3
118.4119.7
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
red by 21.0
6631
#38
103.20.2
104.0103.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.0
End9.5
Third
5257
#35
101.81.6
103.3101.8
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End10.3
red by 8.4
6552
#22
93.40.1
93.993.9
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed