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Red420
2619124.5
6493114.3
4819122.9
Blue221
3770175.2
655293.4
5661120.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923100100200400500600420221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.51.5
117.2118.7
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
blue by 50.7
175.20.1
176.3176.2
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
Second
4819
#16
122.92.6
115.6118.2
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7
red by 2.0
5661
#36
120.90.8
120.1121.0
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
Third
6493
#32
114.30.7
112.0112.7
Auto12.6
Teleop91.5
End8.9
red by 20.9
6552
#22
93.40.0
93.993.9
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed