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Red178
6020122.8
5166107.0
5203115.1
Blue278
6193163.5
6073114.4
6753129.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303650100200300400500600178278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6020
#15
122.81.2
120.5121.7
Auto17.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
blue by 40.7
163.52.1
157.8159.8
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
Second
5203
#29
115.13.9
122.2118.3
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
blue by 14.8
6753
#14
129.90.5
128.3128.8
Auto17.4
Teleop98.7
End14.5
Third
5166
#40
107.00.8
108.8108.0
Auto15.4
Teleop79.6
End10.8
blue by 7.4
6073
#23
114.40.2
113.4113.7
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed