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Red320
5509175.1
438292.3
7213129.8
Blue105
715098.7
5216158.5
5257101.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349273100200300400500600320105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.11.2
171.9173.1
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
red by 16.5
158.51.2
157.6158.8
Auto17.9
Teleop114.3
End24.0
Second
7213
#19
129.82.0
125.4127.4
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
red by 28.0
5257
#35
101.80.0
101.8101.8
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End10.3
Third
4382
#39
92.30.0
92.392.3
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
blue by 6.4
7150
#33
98.70.8
101.4100.5
Auto16.5
Teleop75.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed